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Economy in Suspension: When the Labor Market Shifts from Job Creation to the Production of Expectation

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  Economy in Suspension: When the Labor Market Shifts from Job Creation to the Production of Expectation In many economies, winter is not merely a season; it is a period in which structural weaknesses become more visible. Recent labor market data from Iran reflect precisely such a picture: an economy in which employment is not expanding, but rather trapped in a chronic state of stagnation. One of the most important findings in this data is the significant decline in the labor force participation rate. When less than half of the working-age population enters the labor market, the issue is no longer simply unemployment. Instead, it reflects a broader disengagement from the very idea of work. This phenomenon typically emerges when people either lose hope of finding employment or perceive the cost-benefit balance of entering the labor market as unfavorable. Alongside this, the growth of the economically inactive population becomes more significant. The increase in this group means t...
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  From Tehran to Beijing: How the Iran Crisis Becomes a Bargaining Tool in the U.S.–China Rivalry Recent developments in the Middle East once again show that regional crises are not confined to their geographical borders; rather, they quickly become part of broader global power competitions. Reports published by media outlets such as TRT World suggest that the United States is attempting to reduce or even end tensions with Iran ahead of a major diplomatic event in Beijing. Although this effort appears to be aimed at de-escalation, it is in fact rooted in a more complex calculation: strategic rivalry with China. The Iran Crisis: From Regional Conflict to Geopolitical Bargaining Chip At first glance, tensions between Iran and the United States can be seen as a continuation of a long-standing hostility. However, under current conditions, this crisis is increasingly being interpreted within the framework of the Washington–Beijing competition. For Donald Trump, managing this crisis i...