RadioJiyar

  Power Transition in the Islamic Republic: The Marginalization of Hardliners or a Reconfiguration of the System? An Exclusive Analysis by Radio Jiyar Introduction Recent developments within the Islamic Republic of Iran have raised important questions about the emerging balance of power inside the country's political establishment. On one hand, renewed nuclear negotiations and efforts to reduce external tensions have once again become central issues. On the other hand, several influential figures associated with hardline factions appear to play a less prominent role in political discourse and strategic decision-making than in previous years. These developments have led some analysts to suggest that a gradual internal power transition may be underway—one that does not fundamentally alter the structure of the Islamic Republic but could shift influence toward more pragmatic actors who favor diplomacy and crisis management. Chapter One: Shifting Power Dynamics Within the Establishment ...

  Why Does the Islamic Republic Not End? The Anatomy of a Self-Healing Dictatorship By: Shoresh Mohi Introduction: The Illusion of Collapse Every time a major crisis hits the Islamic Republic of Iran — from the 2009 protests to the November 2019 unrest, from the 2022 uprising to recurring rumors of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei’s death — a familiar voice emerges saying: “This time it’s over.” Yet the system not only survives; it often emerges stronger and more ruthless. This recurring illusion — this painful hope that every shock leads to collapse — has itself become one of the regime’s most powerful tools. It keeps opponents waiting for a miracle while distracting them from understanding the real structure of power. The Islamic Republic is not merely a dictator, nor is it purely an ideology. It is a complex, multilayered, highly adaptable network of interests, fears, dependencies, and organized violence that, over four decades, has repeatedly redefined itself at the edge of c...